Data taken from national weather service offices, cooperative observers, and selected Mississippi State University experiment stations through the years have provided the following table. The table lists the chance of occurrence or probability that a freeze will occur by a certain date. For example, at Charleston, in the upper delta, there is a 10 percent chance that a freeze will occur by October 18th...and a 90 percent chance by November 12.
Mississippi fall freeze dates at selected probability levels:
| DISTRICT/ STATION | |||
| UPPER DELTA | |||
| Charleston | 10/18 | 10/30 | 11/12 |
| Clarksdale | 10/28 | 11/11 | 11/24 |
| Cleveland | 10/22 | 11/02 | 11/14 |
| Rosedale | 10/25 | 11/05 | 11/16 |
| NORTH CENTRAL | |||
| Batesville | 10/14 | 10/27 | 11/08 |
| Hernando | 10/28 | 11/07 | 11/18 |
| Holly Springs | 10/08 | 10/22 | 11/05 |
| Ole Miss | 10/07 | 10/22 | 11/07 |
| Water Valley | 10/18 | 10/30 | 11/11 |
| NORTHEAST | |||
| Booneville | 10/18 | 10/31 | 11/14 |
| Corinth | 10/12 | 10/26 | 11/10 |
| Tupelo | 10/11 | 10/25 | 11/08 |
| LOWER DELTA | |||
| Belzoni | 10/21 | 10/25 | 11/22 |
| Greenville | 10/27 | 11/12 | 11/28 |
| Greenwood | 10/24 | 11/09 | 11/25 |
| Moorhead | 10/21 | 11/04 | 11/19 |
| Stoneville | 10/25 | 11/08 | 11/22 |
| Yazoo City | 10/20 | 11/06 | 11/24 |
| CENTRAL | |||
| Canton | 10/14 | 10/29 | 11/13 |
| Eupora | 10/13 | 10/27 | 11/09 |
| Forest | 10/19 | 11/01 | 11/15 |
| Jackson | 10/23 | 11/07 | 11/27 |
| Kosciusko | 10/16 | 11/01 | 11/17 |
| Pickens | 10/15 | 10/27 | 11/08 |
| EAST CENTRAL | |||
| Aberdeen | 10/21 | 11/01 | 11/12 |
| Columbus | 10/15 | 10/29 | 11/11 |
| Houston | 10/10 | 10/25 | 11/09 |
| Kipling | 10/14 | 10/27 | 11/08 |
| Philadelphia | 10/16 | 10/30 | 11/13 |
| State University | 10/28 | 11/09 | 11/20 |
| SOUTHWEST | |||
| Brookhaven | 10/28 | 10/31 | 11/15 |
| Liberty | 10/23 | 11/05 | 11/18 |
| Natchez | 10/27 | 11/14 | 12/02 |
| Port Gibson | 10/20 | 11/02 | 11/14 |
| Vicksburg | 10/29 | 11/18 | 12/08 |
| Woodville | 10/27 | 11/14 | 12/03 |
| SOUTH CENTRAL | |||
| Collins | 10/23 | 11/05 | 11/18 |
| Columbia | 10/22 | 11/06 | 11/21 |
| Monticello | 10/22 | 11/04 | 11/18 |
| Tylertown | 10/23 | 11/08 | 11/25 |
| SOUTHEAST | |||
| Bay Springs | 10/27 | 11/10 | 11/25 |
| Hattiesburg | 10/24 | 11/08 | 11/23 |
| Laurel | 10/29 | 11/13 | 11/28 |
| Meridian | 10/19 | 11/03 | 11/17 |
| Newton | 10/18 | 10/31 | 11/13 |
| Russell | 10/23 | 11/05 | 11/19 |
| COASTAL | |||
| Bay St. Louis | 11/10 | 12/05 | 12/29 |
| Biloxi | 11/08 | 11/30 | 12/22 |
| Gulfport | 11/07 | 11/26 | 12/16 |
| Picayune | 10/26 | 11/14 | 12/04 |
| Poplarville | 11/01 | 11/21 | 12/11 |
| Wiggins | 10/24 | 11/12 | 12/02 |
