Fierceness and Sierra Leone are both strong horses that have great chances of winning the Kentucky Derby. However, the prediction here is that Catching Freedom will be the colt that crosses the finish line at Churchill Downs first on Saturday.
Catching Freedom is trained by Brad Cox, who won the Kentucky Derby with Mandaloun in 2021. Not only that, but the colt will be ridden by jockey Flavien Prat, who previously rode Country House to victory in 2019.
In March, Catching Freedom won the Louisiana Derby, notching his third victory in five races.
Even if Fierceness and Sierra Leone don't win the Kentucky Derby, they should still be among the top horses in the field. And at least one of the two should finish in the money.
Expect Sierra Leone to make things interesting late in the race. He could put the pressure on Catching Freedom. However, it won't quite be enough, as Catching Freedom will pull away down the final stretch and secure the victory.
As for sleepers, Honor Marie will surprise some by finishing in the money. That will bump Fierceness to fourth.
However things unfold, it should be an exciting race. But it will be Catching Freedom heading to the winner's circle.
Predictions: 1. Catching Freedom; 2. Sierra Leone; 3. Honor Marie; 4. Fierceness
